Is the Reserve Bank crazy for raising Interest Rates ?
Posted on : 07-10-2009 | By : jamiemcintyre | In : Articles, Global Credit Crisis
Tags: interest rates, property market, reserve bank, rising interest rates
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Personally, I can’t believe they did.
I mean the recovery is barely underway and with the US still likely to suffer a double dip recession, wouldn’t it make sense to at least let the Australian economic recovery get past a crawling speed before slamming on the brakes again?
Is it not somewhat premature even to think the recovery is even sustainable?
I appreciate the Reserve Bank is worried the Property Market is going to take off and create a bubble, which I agree is a valid concern, however it isn’t hard to at a later date once a recovery is well underway and likely to be sustainable to then increase rates to slow it down.
It also raises the question:
Who voted the Reserve Bank into power at the last election?
I don’t recall them being on the ballot.
So in a democratic society (supposedly) why is a bunch of Bankers who aren’t accountable to the electorate determining what you and I pay on our home loans?
But hey, that’s a whole other topic.
My point is there is little valid reason for the Reserve Bank to not wait until at least Melbourne Cup day in November or later to start raising rates.
Plus them thinking simply raising rates will stop the Property Market booming isn’t accurate either.
Low interest rates are only one reason why Property Prices are on the rise again.
Raising interest rates doesn’t solve the demand for more houses than what the Construction Industry can build and the shortage of cheap land available due to the State Government’s greed which are the main drivers of Property Price Growth.
And do we really need a higher dollar?
Absolutely not.
And raising rates and being the first major economy in the world to do so simply will put further upward pressure on the Aussie dollar.
This isn’t good for our exporters or rural industries.
(Ok, I do own rural companies so it does affect my hip pocket personally when the dollar rises and interest rates rise in my rural companies and as a Property Investor of course I’d like low interest rates forever too. But taking away any biases I may have, I still feel the Reserve Bank has acted prematurely and without necessity).
The higher dollar is great if we are going for a holiday to the US, but if the Reserve Bank keeps this up then Australians won’t be able to fly to the US as the holiday money they’ve been saving will have to go now to pay their higher mortgage or rental payments.
I’d like to know your thoughts.
Has the Reserve Bank gone crazy and acted too early in raising rates?










Crazy? Depends if the Reserve Bank is a cartel or not. If it is, then not crazy at all in their eyes I suppose. What is crazy is that people keep putting their little savings in the big banks for a lousy interest rate and then borrow people’s money (plus thin air) out again at a higher interest rate. Why don’t they form a co-op and pay themselves the higher interest rates when they come to borrow. Solicitor loans are allowed, there must be a way.
Banks have always controlled the way people live. When I first went for a home loan the banks had means test. Your saving were calculated
over 12 month period, and had to meet a percentage rate over this time. I had saved 30%
in a year, only to be told by the bank I had saved too much money in one year. And was refused
a loan. Who makes money when the rates increase?
banks of course, they need the cash. Poor banks.
All your points are valid, but, thinking outside of money (share market, property market), could the reserve bank be politically obliged to make stupid decisions like the one you described. I mean, the Australian reserve bank is independent from government, but arnt they more or less, controlled by government?
I could be wrong, but you have to think, the people that work in the reserve bank are university graduates whos life revolves around their work, really smart people work there, what I am saying is, they must have known the consequences you described above if they would raise interest rates, so, the only valid reason why they have done what they have done is possibly by other influences, say government.
I dont wont to sound like a conspiracy nut here, but government officials are elected by the people, thus they need to produce results for the people, other wise they get the boot, thus its possible that they influence the reserve bank to do things they wont for their own agenda.